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Grasshoppers vs Lugano

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Plange L.
Assist: Stroscio S.
46'
Sub
Plange L. In: Clemente O.
Out: Plange L.
46'
Sub
Steffen R. In: Behrens K.
Out: Steffen R.

AI Match Summary

Lugano in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Grasshoppers
20%
Draws
52%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lugano lately — more wins on the board than Grasshoppers.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Lugano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grasshoppers Lugano
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.7 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.06 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Lugano
1:4
Mar 1, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Lugano
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Lugano
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Grasshoppers
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Grasshoppers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grasshoppers Compare

Top Goalscorer Plange L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cimignani Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moncada D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grasshoppers 10 / 100
Lugano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grasshoppers Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grasshoppers scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Lugano has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grasshoppers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grasshoppers VS Lugano
2 Goals Scored 3.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grasshoppers

(Home)
19 Sept
Luzern
5 : 1
Grasshoppers
15 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 5
Sion
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
05 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 2
Zurich
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
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Lugano

(Away)
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 9 8 1 0 27:7 25
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 31:18 19
3 Sion 9 6 1 2 23:14 19
4 Basel 9 4 1 4 17:17 13
5 St. Gallen 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Luzern 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
7 Zurich 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
8 Servette 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
9 Thun 9 3 1 5 15:23 10
10 Grasshoppers 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
11 Vaduz 9 2 0 7 18:21 6
12 Lausanne 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)