Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021

Grassina

1 - 1

Follonica Gavorrano

Our Tip

Match Events

51'

Calosi G.

80'

Dierna E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Grassina

28%

Draws

50%

Follonica Gavorrano

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Follonica Gavorrano lately — more wins on the board than Grassina.
Win probability leans Follonica Gavorrano's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Grassina Clean Sheet 20%

Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grassina	Follonica Gavorrano
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	8
Draws	12	10
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2021 Serie D - Group E

Follonica Gavorrano vs Grassina

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

2:4

Feb 17, 2021 Serie D - Group E

Grassina vs Follonica Gavorrano

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group E

Follonica Gavorrano vs Grassina

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group E

Grassina vs Follonica Gavorrano

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grassina Compare

Top Goalscorer Calosi G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Follonica Gavorrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Dierna E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 24 / 100

Follonica Gavorrano 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grassina Follonica Gavorrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Follonica Gavorrano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Grassina scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Grassina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Follonica Gavorrano

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Montevarchi	34	21	8	5	68:32	71
2	Trastevere Calcio	34	17	9	8	56:38	60
3	Sporting Trestina	34	15	11	8	48:33	56
4	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	14	12	8	48:40	54
5	Siena	34	15	8	11	48:40	53
6	Follonica Gavorrano	34	14	9	11	48:37	51
7	Pianese	34	13	12	9	41:34	51
8	Lornano Badesse	34	13	9	12	51:44	48
9	Tiferno Lerchi	34	13	8	13	44:48	47
10	Cannara	34	12	11	11	41:48	47
11	Sangiovannese	34	12	9	13	42:43	45
12	Montespaccato	34	11	8	15	40:47	41
13	Ostiamare	34	8	15	11	50:54	39
14	Flaminia	34	9	12	13	44:57	39
15	Foligno	34	9	9	16	35:48	36
16	Scandicci	34	10	7	17	42:49	35
17	Grassina	34	6	12	16	32:52	30
18	UC Sinalunghese	34	4	11	19	24:58	23