Sport Picks
Match Events
71'
71'
Baccini D.
83'
83'
Falomi N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sangiovannese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Sangiovannese have won more games recently than Grassina.
- Model gives Grassina a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grassina Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grassina | Sangiovannese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Sangiovannese
1:1
Dec 23, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Grassina
1:1
Jan 26, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Grassina
1:2
Sep 22, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Sangiovannese
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grassina Compare
Top Goalscorer Baccini D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sangiovannese Compare
Top Goalscorer Falomi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grassina 36 / 100
Sangiovannese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grassina Sangiovannese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sangiovannese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Sangiovannese lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Grassina scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Grassina VS Sangiovannese
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Grassina
(Home) 20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
13 Jun
Grassina
0 : 1 Sporting Trestina
06 Jun
Grassina
3 : 2 Montespaccato
16 May
Grassina
1 : 1 Scandicci
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Sangiovannese
(Away) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
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27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
12 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 1 Sangiovannese
30 Mar
Ghiviborgo
4 : 2 Sangiovannese
09 Mar
Montevarchi
0 : 0 Sangiovannese
23 Feb
Ostiamare
2 : 2 Sangiovannese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevarchi | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68:32 | 71 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 4 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Siena | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:40 | 53 |
| 6 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:37 | 51 |
| 7 | Pianese | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 41:34 | 51 |
| 8 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 51:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Cannara | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:48 | 47 |
| 11 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 13 | Ostiamare | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 50:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Flaminia | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Grassina | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | 30 |
| 18 | UC Sinalunghese | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 24:58 | 23 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
