Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grassina vs SCD Progresso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Grassina and SCD Progresso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grassina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Grassina
20%
Draws
0%
SCD Progresso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grassina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SCD Progresso come out ahead of Grassina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grassina a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grassina Clean Sheet 16%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grassina SCD Progresso
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs SCD Progresso
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 66 / 100
SCD Progresso 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grassina SCD Progresso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grassina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SCD Progresso conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: SCD Progresso registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Solid form: Grassina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Grassina's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Grassina VS SCD Progresso
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grassina

(Home)
18 Oct
Grassina
1 : 0
SCD Progresso
11 Oct
Tau
1 : 1
Grassina
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6
Lucchese
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
Page 1 of 6

SCD Progresso

(Away)
18 Oct
Grassina
1 : 0
SCD Progresso
11 Oct
SCD Progresso
0 : 1
Siena
04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0
SCD Progresso
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)