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Gravelines W vs Rouen W

France France

Division 2 Women 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gravelines W play Rouen W in the Division 2 Women 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gravelines W averaged 0.87 goals scored and 3.23 conceded. Rouen W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Gravelines W won 3, Rouen W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 19, 2013 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Gravelines W and 1.24 for Rouen W. This points to a Rouen W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gravelines W
28%
Draws
48%
Rouen W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rouen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Gravelines W picked up more points recently compared to Rouen W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Gravelines W Clean Sheet 19%
Rouen W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravelines W Rouen W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Seconde Ligue Women
Rouen W vs Gravelines W
1:1
Feb 17, 2013 Seconde Ligue Women
Gravelines W vs Rouen W
2:2
Apr 1, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
Gravelines W vs Rouen W
4:0
Oct 9, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Rouen W vs Gravelines W
0:1
Jan 23, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Rouen W vs Gravelines W
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravelines W 25 / 100
Rouen W 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravelines W Rouen W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rouen W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gravelines W attacking → ← attacking Rouen W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gravelines W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Rouen W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gravelines W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Rouen W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arras W22172359:1875
2Le Mans W22171462:2474
3Gravelines W22136352:1867
4Compiegne Club Oise W22132747:3163
5Dijon W22831134:3349
6Amiens W22821236:4348
7Mars Bischheim W22821236:4848
8Rouen W22741126:4147
9Cormelles W22661056:6046
10Metz W22651118:4045
11Bagneux W22461221:5040
12Gonfreville W22431513:5437
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Issy W22161564:2971
2La Roche W22145367:2969
3Orvault W22142652:2666
4Montigny-le-Bretonneux W22141769:2765
5Bordeaux W22114742:2559
6Angers W22113845:4258
7Conde-sur-Noireau W22104845:3656
8F.A.S Herblay W22921145:3548
9ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W22571023:4244
10USC Corne W22551219:4642
11Tours W22361324:6137
12Rennes W22002215:11219
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toulouse W22192189:2081
2Albi-Marssac W22154356:2371
3Monteux W22126456:2064
4Grenoble W22118354:3063
5Nimes W22115641:3360
6Le Puy W22104846:2956
7Veore Montoison W22103942:4755
8Aurillac W2294949:5653
9US Blanzy Foot W22531434:6240
10Macon W22431533:5637
11Chatenoy W22221825:8030
12ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W22121919:8824