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Gravina vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Malagnino D.
58' Event
Lattanzio R.

AI Match Summary

Barletta in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gravina
35%
Draws
23%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gravina haven't matched Barletta's recent run of results.
  • Gravina are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barletta have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Barletta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Barletta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.62 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Barletta
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Gravina
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Barletta
2:2
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Gravina
3:2
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Gravina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Malagnino D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lattanzio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 68 / 100
Barletta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gravina remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gravina scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Barletta has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS Barletta
1.83 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 6

Barletta

(Away)
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
28 Aug
Barletta
3 : 0
Bari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)