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Gravina vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Malagnino D.
58' Event
Lattanzio R.

AI Match Summary

Barletta in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gravina
6%
Draws
4%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gravina haven't matched Barletta's recent run of results.
  • Gravina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barletta have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Barletta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Barletta
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 16 21
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Barletta
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Gravina
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Barletta
2:2
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Gravina
3:2
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Gravina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Malagnino D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lattanzio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 95 / 100
Barletta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gravina remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gravina scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Barletta has conceded goals in 36% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS Barletta
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6
Gravina
19 Apr
Gravina
1 : 0
Paganese
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5
Gravina
02 Apr
Gravina
0 : 0
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 7

Barletta

(Away)
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)