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Gravina vs Pompei

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Molnar I.
90' Event
Santoro D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Gravina and Pompei finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Gravina
15%
Draws
41%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Gravina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Pompei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Pompei
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.59 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Pompei
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Gravina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Molnar I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santoro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 41 / 100
Pompei 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pompei conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gravina stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gravina found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS Pompei
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6
Gravina
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Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)