Sport Picks
Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 
Match Events
30'
30'
Qeros F.
45'
45'
Biagiotti M.
63'
63'
Mecca B.
AI Match Summary
Gravina in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gravina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gravina lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Francavilla.
- Win probability leans Gravina's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gravina Clean Sheet 19%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gravina | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina
3:0
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla
4:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gravina Compare
Top Goalscorer Qeros F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mecca B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Biagiotti M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ahmetaj M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gravina 42 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gravina Virtus Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gravina scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Virtus Francavilla conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Gravina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gravina VS Virtus Francavilla
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gravina
(Home) 04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2 Real Normanna
19 Apr
Gravina
1 : 0 Paganese
Page 1 of 3
Virtus Francavilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Turris | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Normanna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Forio 2014 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 12 | San Felice Gladiator | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Palmese 1914 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Melfi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Fidelis Andria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Ischia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
