Sport Picks

Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merkur-Arena

Grazer AK

2 - 1

BW Linz

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Hofleitner A.

(Penalty)

45'

Hofleitner A.

46'

Sub

Bumberger D. In: Pirkl S.

Out: Bumberger D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Grazer AK and BW Linz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grazer AK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Grazer AK

Draws

90%

BW Linz

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BW Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Grazer AK come out ahead of BW Linz on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on BW Linz taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Grazer AK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Grazer AK Clean Sheet 22%

BW Linz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grazer AK	BW Linz
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	10	7
Draws	7	10
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.75	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga

BW Linz vs Grazer AK

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Apr 4, 2026 Bundesliga

Grazer AK vs BW Linz

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 29, 2025 Bundesliga

Grazer AK vs BW Linz

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Sep 13, 2025 Bundesliga

BW Linz vs Grazer AK

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Nov 24, 2024 Bundesliga

BW Linz vs Grazer AK

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grazer AK Compare

Top Goalscorer Harakate R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

BW Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronivaldo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grazer AK 10 / 100

BW Linz 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grazer AK BW Linz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BWL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Grazer AK scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

BW Linz let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Grazer AK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grazer AK VS BW Linz

1.75 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Ried	32	12	6	14	38:42	28
8	Wolfsberger AC	32	11	8	13	41:42	28
9	Grazer AK	32	9	10	13	42:45	27
10	Altach	32	10	12	10	36:39	27
11	Tirol	32	10	10	12	40:52	24
12	BW Linz	32	8	5	19	37:49	21