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Grazer AK vs Hartberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Merkur-Arena, Graz
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grazer AK host Hartberg in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hartberg have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Grazer AK have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.64. Head-to-head, Grazer AK have won 0 to Hartberg's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.75, favoring Hartberg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grazer AK
35%
Draws
32%
Hartberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hartberg haven't matched Grazer AK's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 12%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grazer AK Hartberg
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Grazer AK
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Hartberg
0:0
Apr 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Grazer AK
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Hartberg
0:3
Dec 8, 2024 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Hartberg
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grazer AK 30 / 100
Hartberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grazer AK Hartberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Grazer AK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Grazer AK's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hartberg let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Grazer AK VS Hartberg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grazer AK

(Home)
30 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
1 : 5
Grazer AK
19 Sept
Grazer AK
2 : 2
Austria Vienna
12 Sept
Altach
1 : 2
Grazer AK
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
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Hartberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)