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Greater Tomorrow vs Samger

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Jatta M.
70' Event
Ndure M.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Greater Tomorrow and Samger finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Greater Tomorrow
35%
Draws
41%
Samger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Greater Tomorrow come out ahead of Samger on wins alone.
  • Samger are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Greater Tomorrow Clean Sheet 26%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greater Tomorrow Samger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 GFA League
Greater Tomorrow vs Samger
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Greater Tomorrow
2:3
Mar 20, 2024 GFA League
Samger vs Greater Tomorrow
0:0
Dec 21, 2023 GFA League
Greater Tomorrow vs Samger
1:4
May 12, 2023 GFA League
Samger vs Greater Tomorrow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greater Tomorrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Samger Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndure M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greater Tomorrow 30 / 100
Samger 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greater Tomorrow Samger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Greater Tomorrow scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Greater Tomorrow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Greater Tomorrow VS Samger
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Greater Tomorrow

(Home)
22 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 3
Greater Tomorrow
16 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1
BST Galaxy
11 Jun
Brikama United
3 : 0
Greater Tomorrow
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1
Medina United
Page 1 of 6

Samger

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)