Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grebbestad vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grebbestad play Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grebbestad averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Kumla averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Grebbestad won 2, Kumla won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 24, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Grebbestad and 1.00 for Kumla. This points to a Grebbestad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Grebbestad
6%
Draws
4%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Grebbestad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kumla.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Grebbestad.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grebbestad Kumla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Kumla
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Grebbestad
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Grebbestad
3:2
May 10, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Kumla
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Kumla
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmad Radi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson Segerlind J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grebbestad 85 / 100
Kumla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grebbestad Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Kumla let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Grebbestad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kumla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grebbestad VS Kumla
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408