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Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grebbestad host Vanersborgs FK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Vanersborgs FK have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Grebbestad have conceded 1.64 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Grebbestad have won 3 to Vanersborgs FK's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.31 - 1.31) back Grebbestad to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Grebbestad
15%
Draws
26%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Grebbestad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Grebbestad are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 18%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grebbestad Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs FK
4:2
Apr 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestad
3:1
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs FK
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grebbestad 76 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grebbestad Vanersborgs FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vanersborgs FK has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Grebbestad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grebbestad VS Vanersborgs FK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grebbestad

(Home)
05 Oct
Herrestads AIF
3 : 1
Grebbestad
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1
Lidkoping
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Vanersborgs FK

(Away)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)