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Greece U21 vs Iceland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Greece U21 at 1.83 goals for, 0.93 against; Iceland U21 at 1.73 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Greece U21 have won 1 to Iceland U21's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2021, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.63) back Greece U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Greece U21
20%
Draws
40%
Iceland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Greece U21 have won more games recently than Iceland U21.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Iceland U21 taking it.
  • Greece U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Greece U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece U21 Iceland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2021 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Iceland U21
1:0
Sep 7, 2021 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Greece U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece U21 15 / 100
Iceland U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece U21 Iceland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Iceland U21 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Greece U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Greece U21 VS Iceland U21
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
0 : 1
Greece U21
01 Oct
Greece U21
4 : 2
Latvia U21
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 6

Iceland U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Faroe Islands U21
0 : 2
Iceland U21
29 Sept
Iceland U21
5 : 1
Switzerland U21
25 Sept
Iceland U21
1 : 1
France U21
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Denmark U21 -
Netherlands U21 -
Iceland U21 -
Greece U21 -
Finland U21 -
Ireland U21 -
Turkey U21 -
Czech Republic U21 -