Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Ioannidis F.
25'
25'
Kallman B.
37'
37'
Kallman B.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Greece and Finland finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greece.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Greece carry the better recent record into this one.
- Greece are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Greece have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Greece Clean Sheet 16%
Finland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greece | Finland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 17, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Greece
0:2
Sep 7, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Finland
3:0
Nov 18, 2019 Euro
Greece vs Finland
2:1
Sep 5, 2019 Euro
Finland vs Greece
1:0
Nov 15, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Finland
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greece Compare
Top Goalscorer Ioannidis F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Finland Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greece 41 / 100
Finland 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greece Finland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Finland has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Greece scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Greece has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Greece VS Finland
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Greece
(Home) 07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1 Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2 Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0 Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1 Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0 Greece
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1 Italy
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1 Paraguay
15 Nov
Greece
3 : 2 Scotland
08 Sept
Greece
0 : 3 Denmark
05 Sept
Greece
5 : 1 Belarus
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Finland
(Away) 05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1 Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0 Finland
30 Mar
Cape Verde
2 : 1 Finland
27 Mar
New Zealand
0 : 2 Finland
17 Nov
Finland
4 : 0 Andorra
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1 Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0 Finland
30 Mar
Cape Verde
2 : 1 Finland
27 Mar
New Zealand
0 : 2 Finland
12 Oct
Netherlands
4 : 0 Finland
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
