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Stadium Background

Greece vs Ireland

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Giannoulis D.
48' Event
Bakasetas A.
Assist: Tzolis C.
57'
Sub
Ogbene C. In: Ebosele F.
Out: Ogbene C.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Greece and Ireland finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greece.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Greece
22%
Draws
60%
Ireland
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ireland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Greece come out ahead of Ireland on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ireland taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Greece have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Greece Clean Sheet 15%
Ireland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece Ireland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Ireland
2:0
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Ireland vs Greece
0:2
Oct 13, 2023 Euro
Ireland vs Greece
0:2
Jun 16, 2023 Euro
Greece vs Ireland
2:1
Nov 14, 2012 Friendly International
Ireland vs Greece
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakasetas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mantalos P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ireland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece 19 / 100
Ireland 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece Ireland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ireland conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Greece has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Greece VS Ireland
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czech Republic63219:811
2Ukraine62228:88
3Georgia62137:67
4Albania62134:67
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England650116:315
2Greece650111:415
3Ireland62043:126
4Finland60062:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway641115:713
2Austria632114:511
3Slovenia62227:98
4Kazakhstan60150:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wales63309:412
2Turkey63219:611
3Iceland621310:137
4Montenegro61054:93