Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greece vs Scotland

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
McTominay S.
(Penalty)
45'
Ferguson L.
46'
Sub
Masouras G. In: Karetsas K.
Out: Masouras G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Scotland advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Greece
30%
Draws
52%
Scotland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Greece come out ahead of Scotland on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Greece have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Scotland, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Greece Clean Sheet 13%
Scotland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece Scotland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Greece vs Scotland
3:2
Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Scotland vs Greece
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Scotland vs Greece
0:3
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Scotland
0:1
Aug 15, 1995 Euro
Scotland vs Greece
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece 31 / 100
Scotland 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece Scotland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scotland has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Greece has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Greece VS Scotland
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece

(Home)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1
Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
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Scotland

(Away)
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Turkey 6
Hungary 1
Ukraine 3
Belgium 4
Austria 1
Serbia 3
Greece 3
Scotland 1