Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greece W vs Turkey W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium, Heraklion
Greece W Logo

Greece W

0 - 1
FT
Turkey W Logo

Turkey W

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Petaloti R.
16' Event
Topcu E.
Penalty Missed
38'
Sarri V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turkey W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turkey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Greece W
20%
Draws
35%
Turkey W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Greece W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Turkey W have won more games recently than Greece W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Turkey W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Greece W Clean Sheet 68%
Turkey W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece W Turkey W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Greece W vs Turkey W
0:1
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Turkey W vs Greece W
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Friendly International Women
Turkey W vs Greece W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Turkey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hancar K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece W 41 / 100
Turkey W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece W Turkey W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Greece W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Turkey W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Greece W VS Turkey W
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece W

(Home)
09 Jun
Georgia W
2 : 3
Greece W
18 Apr
Greece W
1 : 1
Moldova W
14 Apr
Faroe Islands W
2 : 3
Greece W
07 Mar
Greece W
2 : 0
Faroe Islands W
03 Mar
Greece W
3 : 0
Georgia W
Page 1 of 6

Turkey W

(Away)
09 Jun
Malta W
0 : 3
Turkey W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1
Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Turkey W
1 : 1
Switzerland W
14 Apr
Switzerland W
3 : 1
Turkey W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1
Turkey W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League B/C - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League B/C - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League B/C - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (League B/C - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)