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Green Buffaloes FC vs Buildcon

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Green Buffaloes FC play Buildcon in the Super League 2022/2023. Green Buffaloes FC are favorites here. Recently, Green Buffaloes FC averaged 0.66 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Buildcon averaged 0.43 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Green Buffaloes FC won 4, Buildcon won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Green Buffaloes FC and 1.06 for Buildcon. This points to a Green Buffaloes FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Green Buffaloes FC
19%
Draws
15%
Buildcon
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Green Buffaloes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Green Buffaloes FC picked up more points recently compared to Buildcon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 22%
Buildcon Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Buffaloes FC Buildcon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 14 3
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 0.66 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Super League
Buildcon vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:1
Dec 4, 2022 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Buildcon
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Super League
Buildcon vs Green Buffaloes FC
1:2
Dec 11, 2021 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Buildcon
2:3
Apr 25, 2021 Super League
Buildcon vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Green Buffaloes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Siame R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Buildcon Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Buffaloes FC 64 / 100
Buildcon 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Buffaloes FC Buildcon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Green Buffaloes FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Green Buffaloes FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Green Buffaloes FC attacking → ← attacking Buildcon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Buffaloes FC scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Buildcon let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Green Buffaloes FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Buildcon lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 9
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Power Dynamos341714348:1965
2Muza Fc34178943:2859
3Zesco341510946:2755
4Green Buffaloes FC341316541:2955
5NAPSA Stars341312940:2651
6Red Arrows341214844:3650
7Green Eagles341481236:3450
8Forest Rangers341115830:2448
9Nkana3412121032:2748
10Kansanshi3412121033:3148
11Kabwe341016837:2746
12Prison Leopards341015935:3645
13Zanaco3410111332:3241
14Nkwazi349121330:3339
15Nchanga Rangers348131332:4337
16Lumwana Radiants347131432:4034
17Chambishi34952034:6032
18Buildcon34242816:8910