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Green Buffaloes FC vs Roan United

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Green Buffaloes FC play Roan United in the Super League 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Green Buffaloes FC averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Roan United averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Green Buffaloes FC won 2, Roan United won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 2, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Green Buffaloes FC and 1.06 for Roan United. This points to a Green Buffaloes FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Green Buffaloes FC
35%
Draws
23%
Roan United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Green Buffaloes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Green Buffaloes FC picked up more points recently compared to Roan United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 22%
Roan United Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Buffaloes FC Roan United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 15 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.72 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Roan United
0:0
Apr 5, 2014 Super League
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes FC
3:4
Nov 2, 2013 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Roan United
1:2
Jun 30, 2013 Super League
Roan United vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:1
Jul 14, 2012 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Roan United
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Buffaloes FC 42 / 100
Roan United 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Buffaloes FC Roan United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Green Buffaloes FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Green Buffaloes FC attacking → ← attacking Roan United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Buffaloes FC scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Roan United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Green Buffaloes FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Roan United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 21
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

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3Nchanga Rangers30156937:3051
4Zanaco301310741:2649
5Red Arrows301114530:2247
6Green Buffaloes FC30129934:2945
7Konkola Blades301281029:2944
8Power Dynamos301191033:3042
9Roan United301011932:2941
10Kabwe301171227:2740
11Konkola Mine Police301151426:3738
12NAPSA Stars301071328:3537
13Nkwazi30971429:3434
14Lime Hotspurs30761723:4927
15Kalulushi Modern Stars30661824:4324
16Forest Rangers302121620:4318