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Green Gully vs Avondale FC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Zimarino A.
48' Event
Mow A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Green Gully and Avondale FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avondale FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Green Gully
6%
Draws
4%
Avondale FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Green Gully

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Green Gully haven't matched Avondale FC's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Green Gully taking it.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Avondale FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 10%
Avondale FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Gully Avondale FC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.38 3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Avondale FC
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Green Gully
5:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Green Gully
2:1
May 9, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Avondale FC
5:2
Jul 27, 2024 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Avondale FC
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Green Gully Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Avondale FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimarino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mow A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Gully 83 / 100
Avondale FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Gully Avondale FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Avondale FC let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Green Gully remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Avondale FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Green Gully VS Avondale FC
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Gully

(Home)
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1
Dandenong Thunder
10 Jul
Green Gully
1 : 3
Altona Magic
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Green Gully
Page 1 of 6

Avondale FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Avondale FC
1 : 1
St Albans
10 Jul
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 0
Avondale FC
04 Jul
Avondale FC
2 : 3
Preston Lions
26 Jun
Dandenong City SC
3 : 1
Avondale FC
20 Jun
Avondale FC
11 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons22145345:2047
2Hume City22124642:2840
3Avondale FC22122857:3038
4Preston Lions21133531:1636
5South Melbourne22112933:3335
6Heidelberg Utd2297633:2634
7George Cross22710528:2831
8Melbourne City U212186739:2630
9St Albans2276927:3927
10Altona Magic22751026:3626
11Dandenong City SC2276927:2923
12Bentleigh Greens22541320:4619
13Dandenong Thunder22431523:4815
14Green Gully22351417:4314
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)