Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve

Bentleigh Greens

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Green Gully play Bentleigh Greens in the NPL Victoria. Bentleigh Greens are favorites here. Recently, Green Gully averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Bentleigh Greens averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Green Gully won 3, Bentleigh Greens won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Green Gully and 1.50 for Bentleigh Greens. This points to a Bentleigh Greens double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Green Gully

18%

Draws

59%

Bentleigh Greens

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bentleigh Greens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Green Gully picked up more points recently compared to Bentleigh Greens.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Green Gully Clean Sheet 16%

Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Green Gully	Bentleigh Greens
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	2	12
Draws	8	6
Losses	18	10
Goals Scored	0.86	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.96	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs Green Gully

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

Jun 2, 2023 NPL Victoria

Green Gully vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Mar 3, 2023 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs Green Gully

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Aug 26, 2022 NPL Victoria

Green Gully vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Jul 1, 2022 NPL Victoria

Green Gully vs Bentleigh Greens

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Gully 24 / 100

Bentleigh Greens 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Green Gully Bentleigh Greens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bentleigh Greens Win (2)

Secondary Pick Bentleigh Greens & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Green Gully attacking → ← attacking Bentleigh Greens

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Gully scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Bentleigh Greens let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Green Gully went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bentleigh Greens lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 42

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	17	11	4	2	39:17	37
2	Hume City	17	11	3	3	36:21	36
3	Avondale FC	17	11	1	5	50:19	34
4	Heidelberg Utd	17	9	3	5	30:22	30
5	George Cross	17	6	7	4	24:23	25
6	South Melbourne	17	8	1	8	27:30	25
7	Melbourne City U21	16	6	5	5	30:20	23
8	Preston Lions	16	9	2	5	23:13	23
9	St Albans	17	6	3	8	20:31	21
10	Dandenong City SC	17	6	4	7	23:24	18
11	Altona Magic	17	4	4	9	20:32	16
12	Bentleigh Greens	17	4	4	9	17:38	16
13	Dandenong Thunder	17	3	3	11	19:38	12
14	Green Gully	17	0	4	13	8:38	4