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Stadium Background

Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United

USA USA

USL Cup Paladin Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Patti A. In: Wu D.
Out: Patti A.
37'
Erlandson J.
43' Event
Akio W.
Assist: Liadi A.

AI Match Summary

The USL Cup game between Greenville Triumph and Loudoun United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greenville Triumph.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Greenville Triumph
17%
Draws
13%
Loudoun United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Greenville Triumph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Greenville Triumph carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Greenville Triumph's way, sitting at 70%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal USL Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 19%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greenville Triumph Loudoun United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 USL Cup
Greenville Triumph vs Loudoun United
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greenville Triumph Compare

Top Goalscorer Akio W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Loudoun United Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greenville Triumph 67 / 100
Loudoun United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greenville Triumph Loudoun United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GVL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loudoun United let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Greenville Triumph scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Loudoun United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greenville Triumph VS Loudoun United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

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6Monterey Bay41038:103
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1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92