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Greenville Triumph vs Athletic Club Boise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Barea J.
Assist: Kostyshyn D.
13' Event
Meek L.
15' Event
Kostyshyn D.
Assist: Barea J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Greenville Triumph and Athletic Club Boise finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greenville Triumph.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Greenville Triumph
20%
Draws
80%
Athletic Club Boise
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Athletic Club Boise carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Athletic Club Boise taking it.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greenville Triumph Athletic Club Boise
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Jul 29, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Athletic Club Boise
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greenville Triumph Compare

Top Goalscorer Meek L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Barea J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostyshyn D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greenville Triumph Athletic Club Boise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Greenville Triumph scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Athletic Club Boise lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greenville Triumph VS Athletic Club Boise
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greenville Triumph

(Home)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club Boise

(Away)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)