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Stadium Background

Greenville Triumph vs AV Alta FC

USA USA

USL League One Paladin Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Patti A.
17'
Sub
Doumbia D. In: Smith D.
Out: Doumbia D.
39' Event
Fricke B.
Assist: Patti A.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Greenville Triumph and AV Alta FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AV Alta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Greenville Triumph
11%
Draws
80%
AV Alta FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AV Alta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AV Alta FC come out ahead of Greenville Triumph on wins alone.
  • Model gives AV Alta FC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 19%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greenville Triumph AV Alta FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs AV Alta FC
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Greenville Triumph
1:1
May 17, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs AV Alta FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greenville Triumph Compare

Top Goalscorer Fricke B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bahena Jr C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greenville Triumph 12 / 100
AV Alta FC 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greenville Triumph AV Alta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greenville Triumph found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

AV Alta FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Greenville Triumph went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greenville Triumph VS AV Alta FC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310