Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Greenville Triumph host Charlotte Independence in the USL League One. Charlotte Independence go into this one as the clear favorite. Greenville Triumph have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Charlotte Independence's 2.23 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Charlotte Independence slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.44, favoring Charlotte Independence. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Greenville Triumph
20%
Draws
80%
Charlotte Independence
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlotte Independence

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Charlotte Independence have won more games recently than Greenville Triumph.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greenville Triumph Charlotte Independence
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.93 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Jun 24, 2026 USL Cup
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
4:5
Jun 15, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
Charlotte Independence 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greenville Triumph Charlotte Independence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte Independence let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Greenville Triumph found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Greenville Triumph VS Charlotte Independence
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Greenville Triumph

(Home)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte Independence

(Away)
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)