Sport Picks
Greenville Triumph vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC 
Match Events
24'
24'
Boyce D.
Assist: Polak T.
41'
41'
Liadi A.
53'
53'
Nour M.
Assist: Liadi A.
AI Match Summary
Greenville Triumph in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greenville Triumph.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Naples
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- FC Naples have won more games recently than Greenville Triumph.
- 74% — that's where the model lands on FC Naples taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 12%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenville Triumph | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs FC Naples
4:0
Apr 4, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Greenville Triumph
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
Greenville Triumph vs FC Naples
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs FC Naples
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Nour M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Boyce D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
FC Naples Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
FC Naples 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenville Triumph FC Naples
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Naples Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Naples's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Greenville Triumph scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Greenville Triumph has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Greenville Triumph VS FC Naples
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenville Triumph
(Home) 11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
FC Naples
(Away) 11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Naples
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Naples
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:63 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
