Sport Picks
Greenville Triumph vs Fort Wayne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC 
Match Events
4'
4'
Evans C.
Own Goal
15'
15'
Agyaakwah I.
29'
29'
Nieto E.
AI Match Summary
Fort Wayne in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fort Wayne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fort Wayne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fort Wayne lately — more wins on the board than Greenville Triumph.
- Model gives Fort Wayne a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenville Triumph | Fort Wayne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Fort Wayne
1:3
Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Fricke B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Fort Wayne Compare
Top Goalscorer Becher R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
Fort Wayne 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenville Triumph Fort Wayne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Fort Wayne let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Greenville Triumph's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Difficult form: Fort Wayne registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Greenville Triumph VS Fort Wayne
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenville Triumph
(Home) 03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
Fort Wayne
(Away) 08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0 Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
