Sport Picks
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison
USA
USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC 
Match Events
14'
14'
Liadi A.
Assist: Boyce D.
15'
15'
Sub
Castro L. In: Robles R.
Out: Castro L.
44'
44'
Seagrist P.
AI Match Summary
Greenville Triumph in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greenville Triumph.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forward Madison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Forward Madison lately — more wins on the board than Greenville Triumph.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 12%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenville Triumph | Forward Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
1:1
Jun 3, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
3:1
May 4, 2024 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Liadi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Forward Madison Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenville Triumph 30 / 100
Forward Madison 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenville Triumph Forward Madison
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Greenville Triumph scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Forward Madison let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Greenville Triumph has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Greenville Triumph VS Forward Madison
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenville Triumph
(Home) 05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
01 Aug
Greenville Triumph
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
29 Jul
Greenville Triumph
3 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
11 Jul
Greenville Triumph
1 : 2 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 3
Forward Madison
(Away) 06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
16 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
16 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Forward Madison
09 Aug
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Forward Madison
02 Jul
Spokane Velocity
0 : 1 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55:33 | 49 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 46:24 | 47 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:33 | 41 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 44:36 | 38 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 9 | AV Alta FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 34:36 | 32 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28:34 | 30 |
| 11 | FC Naples | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 27:41 | 26 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:38 | 26 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 37:45 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:37 | 23 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 30:48 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:45 | 19 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
