Sport Picks
Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC 
Match Events
33'
33'
Akio W.
46'
46'
Sub
Gill R. In: Goling M.
Out: Gill R.
46'
46'
Nour M.
Assist: Akio W.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- One Knoxville have won more games recently than Greenville Triumph.
- Win probability leans One Knoxville's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors One Knoxville here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenville Triumph | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville
1:1
May 29, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Apr 9, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 US Open Cup
Greenville Triumph vs One Knoxville
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Nour M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Rosamilia N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenville Triumph 14 / 100
One Knoxville 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenville Triumph One Knoxville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: One Knoxville conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
One Knoxville's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Greenville Triumph's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Greenville Triumph VS One Knoxville
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenville Triumph
(Home) 11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
One Knoxville
(Away) 11 Oct
One Knoxville
0 : 2 Spokane Velocity
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:63 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
