Sport Picks
Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine
USA
USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC 
Match Events
28'
28'
Camara A.
Assist: Georgallides K.
32'
32'
Barbosa D.
37'
37'
Nour M.
Assist: Bubb Z.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portland Hearts of Pine lately — more wins on the board than Greenville Triumph.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Portland Hearts of Pine taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 13%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenville Triumph | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:3
May 23, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:3
Jul 16, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Nour M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Liadi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Camara A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barbosa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenville Triumph 11 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenville Triumph Portland Hearts of Pine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portland Hearts of Pine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 4.25 goals.
Attacking prowess: Greenville Triumph scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Greenville Triumph stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Greenville Triumph VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenville Triumph
(Home) 19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
01 Aug
Greenville Triumph
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Away) 26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
01 Aug
Greenville Triumph
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
