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Grei vs Baerum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kaba V. C.
34'
Stien T.
45' Event
Oustorp-Wiklins D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Grei and Baerum finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Grei
15%
Draws
0%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Grei haven't matched Baerum's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Grei's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grei Baerum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 2.17 2.79
Goals Conceded 3.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Grei vs Baerum
1:7
May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Grei
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grei Compare

Top Goalscorer Oustorp-Wiklins D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaba V. C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Victorio A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grei 83 / 100
Baerum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grei Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Baerum has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Grei found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Grei VS Baerum
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grei

(Home)
03 Oct
Grei
4 : 3
Asker
26 Sept
Ready
2 : 3
Grei
19 Sept
Grei
1 : 4
Heming
12 Sept
Konnerud
3 : 2
Grei
05 Sept
Grei
0 : 1
Union Carl Berner
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Baerum

(Away)
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
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