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Grei vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grei host Baerum in the Division 3 - Group 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Baerum have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Grei have conceded 3.63 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Baerum slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (2.06 - 3.25) back Baerum to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Grei
6%
Draws
90%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Grei haven't matched Baerum's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baerum's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grei Baerum
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Grei
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grei 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grei Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grei scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Baerum has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Grei remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grei VS Baerum
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grei

(Home)
25 Jul
Grei
3 : 1
Konnerud
27 Jun
Grei
1 : 5
Nordstrand
20 Jun
Union Carl Berner
2 : 1
Grei
13 Jun
Grei
3 : 5
Ready
30 May
Baerum
5 : 0
Grei
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Baerum

(Away)
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3
Valerenga 2
27 Jun
Frigg
1 : 1
Baerum
20 Jun
Baerum
7 : 2
Konnerud
14 Jun
KFUM Oslo 2
1 : 4
Baerum
30 May
Baerum
5 : 0
Grei
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