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Grei W vs Sarpsborg 08 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 Women 2014 game between Grei W and Sarpsborg 08 W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Grei W
15%
Draws
20%
Sarpsborg 08 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grei W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grei W come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 W on wins alone.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on Sarpsborg 08 W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grei W Clean Sheet 13%
Sarpsborg 08 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grei W Sarpsborg 08 W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 2.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.09 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Grei W
2:6
May 1, 2018 Norway Cup Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Grei W
1:5
Aug 22, 2015 Division 1 Women
Grei W vs Sarpsborg 08 W
1:1
Apr 18, 2015 Division 1 Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Grei W
1:0
Oct 4, 2014 Division 1 Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Grei W
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grei W 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grei W Sarpsborg 08 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grei W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 W conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Grei W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grei W VS Sarpsborg 08 W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grei W

(Home)
08 Oct
Grei W
1 : 0
Roa W
03 Oct
Arna-Bjornar W
10 : 0
Grei W
27 Sept
Fyllingsdalen W
0 : 1
Grei W
20 Sept
Grei W
3 : 2
Tromso W
16 Sept
Asane W
1 : 1
Grei W
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Sarpsborg 08 W

(Away)
08 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 6
Grei W
12 May
Sarpsborg 08 W
0 : 2
Honefoss W
22 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 0
Kolbotn W
22 Mar
IFK Goteborg W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
07 May
Raufoss W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 22 21 1 0 90:10 64
2 Sarpsborg 08 W 22 13 3 6 54:44 42
3 Uraedd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
4 Aalesund W 22 11 4 7 44:32 37
5 Ovrevoll Hosle W 22 9 7 6 34:30 34
6 Lyn W 22 9 4 9 39:37 31
7 Kongsvinger W 22 6 8 8 35:44 26
8 Fart W 22 6 7 9 34:50 25
9 Grei W 22 6 6 10 28:46 24
10 Asane W 22 5 5 12 19:41 20
11 Kaupanger W 22 5 2 15 25:47 17
12 Floya W 22 1 6 15 18:56 9
Promotion - Toppserien Women 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Toppserien Women 2014 (Relegation)