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Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
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Match Events

87' Event
Liebelt J. R.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Greifswalder FC and BFC Dynamo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Greifswalder FC
39%
Draws
31%
BFC Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • BFC Dynamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 18%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greifswalder FC BFC Dynamo
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 3.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo
0:1
Sep 16, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC
2:0
Feb 28, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC
1:4
Sep 10, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo
1:2
Feb 23, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greifswalder FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

BFC Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Liebelt J. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greifswalder FC 31 / 100
BFC Dynamo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greifswalder FC BFC Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greifswalder FC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: BFC Dynamo conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Greifswalder FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Greifswalder FC VS BFC Dynamo
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Greifswalder FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Phonix Lubeck
1 : 1
Greifswalder FC
15 Jul
Hansa Rostock
3 : 0
Greifswalder FC
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
0 : 0
Lubeck
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
5 : 3
TSG Neustrelitz
08 Jul
Siedenbollentin
0 : 7
Greifswalder FC
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BFC Dynamo

(Away)
17 Jul
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
Berliner AK 07
11 Jul
Hertha Zehlendorf
0 : 5
BFC Dynamo
08 Jul
Stendal
0 : 1
BFC Dynamo
03 Jul
BFC Dynamo
1 : 1
Phonix Lubeck
27 Jun
BFC Dynamo
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)