Sport Picks
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
Match Events
11'
11'
Cevis D.
14'
14'
Leipertz R.
22'
22'
Seidemann K.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga Nordost game between Greifswalder FC and Lokomotive Leipzig finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Greifswalder FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Greifswalder FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Greifswalder FC taking it.
- Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 13%
Lokomotive Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greifswalder FC | Lokomotive Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
3:3
May 10, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greifswalder FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Leipertz R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seidemann K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Lokomotive Leipzig Compare
Top Goalscorer Cevis D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Siebeck A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greifswalder FC 39 / 100
Lokomotive Leipzig 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greifswalder FC Lokomotive Leipzig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Greifswalder FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Greifswalder FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Lokomotive Leipzig conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Greifswalder FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Greifswalder FC VS Lokomotive Leipzig
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Greifswalder FC
(Home) 25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0 Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2 Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2 Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1 Luckenwalde
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1 Babelsberg
07 Aug
Greifswalder FC
1 : 3 Altglienicke
26 Jul
Greifswalder FC
2 : 2 Hallescher
Page 1 of 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
(Away) 26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4 Erfurt
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2 Lokomotive Leipzig
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2 BFC Dynamo
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2 Aue
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2 Lokomotive Leipzig
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
16 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
05 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 2 Lokomotive Leipzig
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:5 | 26 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Jena | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hallescher | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 7 | Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Zwickau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | 13 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 6 |
| 17 | Luckenwalde | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12:29 | 6 |
| 18 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13:38 | 5 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
