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Greifswalder FC vs Magdeburg II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mergner L.
39' Event
Frenzel J.
45' Event
Strietzel B.

AI Match Summary

Magdeburg II in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Magdeburg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Greifswalder FC
22%
Draws
18%
Magdeburg II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Greifswalder FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Magdeburg II lately — more wins on the board than Greifswalder FC.
  • Greifswalder FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 16%
Magdeburg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greifswalder FC Magdeburg II
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 3.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Magdeburg II
1:3
Sep 12, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Strietzel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Magdeburg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mergner L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frenzel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greifswalder FC 57 / 100
Magdeburg II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greifswalder FC Magdeburg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greifswalder FC scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Magdeburg II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Greifswalder FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greifswalder FC VS Magdeburg II
3.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greifswalder FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Phonix Lubeck
1 : 1
Greifswalder FC
15 Jul
Hansa Rostock
3 : 0
Greifswalder FC
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
0 : 0
Lubeck
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
5 : 3
TSG Neustrelitz
08 Jul
Siedenbollentin
0 : 7
Greifswalder FC
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Magdeburg II

(Away)
11 Jul
Magdeburg II
1 : 1
Hannoverscher SC
04 Jul
Magdeburg II
2 : 0
Hildesheim
30 Jun
Magdeburg II
2 : 2
Schoningen
16 May
Lokomotive Leipzig
5 : 2
Magdeburg II
10 May
Magdeburg II
6 : 4
Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)