Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio 2 vs EC Juventude 2

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2024 Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Simon M.
90'
Paulo Motta
90'
Costa D.

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude 2 in this Copa FGF 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gremio 2
15%
Draws
0%
EC Juventude 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio 2 haven't matched EC Juventude 2's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gremio 2 taking it.
  • EC Juventude 2 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Juventude 2, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gremio 2 Clean Sheet 20%
EC Juventude 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio 2 EC Juventude 2
Matches Played 8 21
Wins 3 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.05
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 Copa FGF
Gremio 2 vs EC Juventude 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

EC Juventude 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Simon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 2 85 / 100
EC Juventude 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio 2 EC Juventude 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Juventude 2's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gremio 2 scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Defensive concern: EC Juventude 2 conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gremio 2 VS EC Juventude 2
1.33 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Gremio 2
3 : 1
Aimore
03 Oct
SC Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Gremio 2
25 Sept
Gremio 2
1 : 3
SC Gaucho
22 Sept
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Gremio 2
18 Sept
Internacional 2
2 : 1
Gremio 2
Page 1 of 2

EC Juventude 2

(Away)
16 Nov
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 1
EC Juventude 2
12 Nov
EC Juventude 2
1 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
09 Nov
SC Gaucho
2 : 0
EC Juventude 2
01 Nov
EC Juventude 2
1 : 3
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
26 Oct
Pelotas
7 : 0
EC Juventude 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Jose (PA) 8 5 3 0 15:6 18
2 Ypiranga FC 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
3 EC Juventude 2 8 4 0 4 10:11 12
4 SC Gaucho 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
5 Passo Fundo 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
6 Internacional 2 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
7 Aimore 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
8 Gremio 2 8 3 1 4 7:8 10
9 SC Sao Paulo 8 0 1 7 4:28 1
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)