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Gremio Anapolis vs Tupy FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Richard
75' Event
Mateus Bahia

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gremio Anapolis
30%
Draws
39%
Tupy FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tupy FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupy FC lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Anapolis.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 68%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Anapolis Tupy FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Gremio Anapolis
1:1
Aug 12, 2026 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Tupy FC
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Gremio Anapolis
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Tupy FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Anapolis 41 / 100
Tupy FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Anapolis Tupy FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Anapolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tupy FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Gremio Anapolis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Gremio Anapolis remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Anapolis VS Tupy FC
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Anapolis

(Home)
07 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
4 : 0
Goiania
03 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 2
Rio Verde
27 Sept
Trindade
2 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
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Tupy FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Trindade
2 : 3
Tupy FC
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Tupy FC 18 5 7 6 18:19 22
7 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 18 2 6 10 15:28 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)