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Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2024
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Logo

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

1 - 0
FT
Nautico FC Logo

Nautico FC

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Anthony
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Gremio Atletico Sampaio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
11%
Draws
9%
Nautico FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Atletico Sampaio come out ahead of Nautico FC on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Atletico Sampaio taking it.
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio Atletico Sampaio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gremio Atletico Sampaio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 19%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio Nautico FC
Matches Played 50 36
Wins 26 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC
4:1
Mar 22, 2025 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:6
Apr 27, 2024 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Nautico FC
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Anthony
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nautico FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 76 / 100
Nautico FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Nautico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gremio Atletico Sampaio scored in 78% of their last 50 outings.

Nautico FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.

Away concern: Nautico FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Atletico Sampaio VS Nautico FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Home)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 10

Nautico FC

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
08 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4 : 1
Nautico FC
05 Mar
Nautico FC
0 : 1
Monte Roraima
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sao Raimundo RR2
Monte Roraima1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio1
Nautico FC0
Final
Sao Raimundo RR2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio1