Sport Picks

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Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Real Sao Luiz

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2023
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Logo

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Wed, May 17, 2023
2 - 3
10:30 PM
Real Sao Luiz Logo

Real Sao Luiz

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Tsague B.
45' Event
Matheus Henrique
(Penalty)
46' Event
Tsague B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Real Sao Luiz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
20%
Draws
40%
Real Sao Luiz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Atletico Sampaio come out ahead of Real Sao Luiz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Real Sao Luiz a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Sao Luiz, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 18%
Real Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio Real Sao Luiz
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 25 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 2.31 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:2
May 17, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Real Sao Luiz
2:3
Apr 29, 2023 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Real Sao Luiz
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Robemar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Real Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsague B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 15 / 100
Real Sao Luiz 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Real Sao Luiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sao Luiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Gremio Atletico Sampaio scored in 77% of their last 48 outings.

Real Sao Luiz let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Real Sao Luiz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Atletico Sampaio VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Home)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 10

Real Sao Luiz

(Away)
18 May
Atl. Roraima
3 : 2
Real Sao Luiz
10 May
Real Sao Luiz
2 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
03 May
Nautico FC
1 : 0
Real Sao Luiz
01 May
Real Sao Luiz
0 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
10 Apr
Monte Roraima
2 : 0
Real Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 2
Real Sao Luiz 3
Sao Raimundo RR 4
Atl. Roraima 2
Final
Real Sao Luiz 2
Sao Raimundo RR 3