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Gremio Coariense vs Princesa do Solimoes

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gremio Coariense play Princesa do Solimoes in the Campeonato Amazonense 2006. Gremio Coariense are favorites here. Recently, Gremio Coariense averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Princesa do Solimoes averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Gremio Coariense won 4, Princesa do Solimoes won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2006 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Gremio Coariense and 1.18 for Princesa do Solimoes. This points to a Gremio Coariense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gremio Coariense
15%
Draws
27%
Princesa do Solimoes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Coariense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Gremio Coariense picked up more points recently compared to Princesa do Solimoes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Gremio Coariense Clean Sheet 20%
Princesa do Solimoes Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Coariense Princesa do Solimoes
Matches Played 25 34
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.2 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2006 Amazonense
Gremio Coariense vs Princesa do Solimoes
2:0
Feb 11, 2006 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Gremio Coariense
2:3
Apr 6, 2005 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Gremio Coariense
1:2
Feb 27, 2005 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Gremio Coariense
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Coariense 56 / 100
Princesa do Solimoes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Coariense Princesa do Solimoes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Coariense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gremio Coariense & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gremio Coariense attacking → ← attacking Princesa do Solimoes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Coariense scored in 84% of their last 25 games.

Princesa do Solimoes let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Gremio Coariense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Princesa do Solimoes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)42209:28
2Sao Raimundo AM42208:28
3Princesa do Solimoes41215:45
4Gremio Coariense41124:74
5America AM40134:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sul America431011:410
2Fast Clube42118:47
3Nacional-AM (Manaus)420210:76
4Libermorro41034:93
5Cliper41033:123