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Gremio Juventus vs CA Metropolitano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Odivan
90' Event
Hugo Cordeiro

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gremio Juventus
15%
Draws
42%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • CA Metropolitano have won more games recently than Gremio Juventus.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Juventus taking it.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 68%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Juventus CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.91 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs CA Metropolitano
0:2
May 30, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Gremio Juventus
2:0
Jul 27, 2025 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
Jun 9, 2024 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Gremio Juventus
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Juventus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Odivan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo Cordeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 68 / 100
CA Metropolitano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Juventus CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Juventus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gremio Juventus scored in 52% of their last 23 outings.

Defensive concern: CA Metropolitano conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS CA Metropolitano
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Juventus

(Home)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Hercilio Luz
1 : 0
Gremio Juventus
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
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CA Metropolitano

(Away)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)