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Gremio Juventus vs Caravaggio

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Henik
42' Event
Evaristo
80'
Denis

AI Match Summary

Caravaggio in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gremio Juventus
11%
Draws
80%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Gremio Juventus haven't matched Caravaggio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Caravaggio a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 10%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Juventus Caravaggio
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Caravaggio
0:3
Aug 11, 2024 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Gremio Juventus
3:1
Aug 4, 2024 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Caravaggio
2:1
May 26, 2024 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Caravaggio
3:2
Jun 11, 2023 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Caravaggio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Juventus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Henik
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evaristo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 10 / 100
Caravaggio 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Juventus Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Caravaggio let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Gremio Juventus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gremio Juventus scored in 48% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Caravaggio
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631