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Gremio Juventus vs Jaragua-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Paje
13' Event
Dentinho
(Penalty)
30' Event
Thiago Medeiros

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Gremio Juventus and Jaragua-SC finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Juventus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gremio Juventus
6%
Draws
4%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Juventus come out ahead of Jaragua-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gremio Juventus a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Juventus Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 22 25
Wins 5 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Jaragua-SC
8:1
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Gremio Juventus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Medeiros
3 Goals
Assists Leader Dentinho
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Juventus Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Jaragua-SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 64% of 25 recent games.

Gremio Juventus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Jaragua-SC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2Caravaggio1593342:1730
3CA Metropolitano1592425:1729
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1545614:2217
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1501145:571