Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus

1 - 1

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

89'

Julius

90'

Raphael

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Gremio Juventus and Nacao finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Gremio Juventus

Draws

Nacao

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gremio Juventus carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Gremio Juventus's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 20%

Nacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gremio Juventus	Nacao
Matches Played	22	27
Wins	5	4
Draws	6	12
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.38	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Apr 26, 2026 Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus vs Nacao

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Oct 12, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina

Gremio Juventus vs Nacao

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 7, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina

Nacao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Jun 29, 2025 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphael

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Julius

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 85 / 100

Nacao 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gremio Juventus Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gremio Juventus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gremio Juventus's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Nacao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Nacao

1.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	Caravaggio	15	9	3	3	42:17	30
3	CA Metropolitano	15	9	2	4	25:17	29
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	15	4	5	6	14:22	17
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	15	0	1	14	5:57	1