Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina

Nacao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gremio Juventus host Nacao in the Copa Santa Catarina. This one's hard to separate. Nacao have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Gremio Juventus have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Nacao slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back Nacao to edge this. Nacao in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Gremio Juventus

Draws

Nacao

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Gremio Juventus lately — more wins on the board than Nacao.
Win probability leans Gremio Juventus's way, sitting at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 20%

Nacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gremio Juventus	Nacao
Matches Played	20	26
Wins	5	3
Draws	5	12
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.25	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Apr 26, 2026 Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus vs Nacao

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Oct 12, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina

Gremio Juventus vs Nacao

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Sep 7, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina

Nacao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Jun 29, 2025 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 85 / 100

Nacao 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gremio Juventus Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gremio Juventus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gremio Juventus scored in 45% of their last 20 outings.

Nacao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Nacao

1.25 Goals Scored 0.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Figueirense	6	4	2	0	16:6	14
2	Marcilio Dias	6	4	1	1	23:5	13
3	Avai	6	1	1	4	4:16	4
4	Barra FC (Santa Catarina)	6	1	0	5	4:20	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santa Catarina	6	5	1	0	13:3	16
2	Chapecoense-SC	6	1	4	1	4:6	7
3	Brusque	6	1	2	3	5:6	5
4	Concordia	6	1	1	4	4:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Blumenau	6	4	1	1	13:6	13
2	Joinville	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Carlos Renaux	6	1	3	2	8:9	6
4	Nacao	6	0	3	3	2:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Criciuma	6	4	2	0	15:5	14
2	Tubarao	6	2	2	2	5:6	8
3	Caravaggio	6	2	0	4	5:11	6
4	Camboriu	6	1	2	3	6:9	5