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Gremio Prudente vs Tupa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2020
Gremio Prudente Logo

Gremio Prudente

3 - 1
FT
Tupa Logo

Tupa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gremio Prudente in this Paulista A4 2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Prudente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gremio Prudente
20%
Draws
22%
Tupa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio Prudente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupa have won more games recently than Gremio Prudente.
  • Gremio Prudente are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 20%
Tupa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Prudente Tupa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2020 Paulista A4
Gremio Prudente vs Tupa
3:1
Oct 28, 2020 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Gremio Prudente
1:1
Jun 9, 2018 Paulista A4
Gremio Prudente vs Tupa
1:1
Apr 22, 2018 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Gremio Prudente
2:0
Jun 5, 2016 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Gremio Prudente
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Prudente 85 / 100
Tupa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Prudente Tupa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Prudente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Prudente scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tupa conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Gremio Prudente remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Prudente VS Tupa
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Prudente

(Home)
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente
15 Sept
Gremio Prudente
2 : 2
Linense
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
Page 1 of 6

Tupa

(Away)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bandeirante 8 6 2 0 21:3 20
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
3 America SP 8 3 1 4 8:8 10
4 Tanabi 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
5 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 0 6 3:15 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 5 3 0 18:6 18
2 Osvaldo Cruz 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
3 Vocem 8 3 3 2 12:5 12
4 Tupa 8 3 2 3 8:13 11
5 Assisense 8 0 1 7 4:18 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 XV de Jau 8 3 4 1 11:7 13
3 Sao-Carlense 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
4 Inter de Bebedouro 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
5 Matonense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 8 5 2 1 13:10 17
2 Rio Branco SP 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 AA Itarare 8 4 1 3 15:9 13
4 Uniao Barbarense 8 2 1 5 10:13 7
5 Elosport 8 1 2 5 8:19 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amparo SP 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
2 Itapirense 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
3 Flamengo SP 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
4 Brasilis 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
5 Guarulhos 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 8 7 0 1 26:8 21
2 Manthiqueira 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
3 Uniao Suzano 8 3 2 3 18:11 11
4 Uniao Mogi 8 2 3 3 17:13 9
5 Atletico Mogi 8 0 0 8 2:38 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jabaquara 8 5 1 2 10:3 16
2 Maua FC 8 4 2 2 10:4 14
3 SKA Brasil 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
4 Mauaense 8 2 4 2 10:9 10
5 Barcelona SP 8 0 2 6 4:21 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams