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Gremio Sorriso vs Campo Novo

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 game between Gremio Sorriso and Campo Novo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Sorriso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gremio Sorriso
6%
Draws
4%
Campo Novo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gremio Sorriso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Sorriso come out ahead of Campo Novo on wins alone.
  • Gremio Sorriso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Gremio Sorriso Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Sorriso Campo Novo
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 7 2
Draws 10 0
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Gremio Sorriso vs Campo Novo
4:0
May 12, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Gremio Sorriso
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Sorriso 85 / 100
Campo Novo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Sorriso Campo Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Novo has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Campo Novo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Gremio Sorriso scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Sorriso VS Campo Novo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Sorriso

(Home)
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
30 Apr
Sinop FC
3 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 Apr
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
Page 1 of 7

Campo Novo

(Away)
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
01 May
Sorriso EC
9 : 0
Campo Novo
18 Apr
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
06 Jul
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC43108:210
2Sorriso EC421112:37
3Santa Cruz MT41303:16
4Gremio Sorriso41124:44
5Campo Novo40041:180
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uirapuru431015:410
2Acao42208:68
3Cacerense41125:44
4Paulistano FC40221:62
5Atletico MT40223:122
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)