Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Icaro
46'
Sub
Nardoni J. In: Braithwaite M.
Out: Nardoni J.
46'
Sub
Pavon C. In: Perez L.
Out: Pavon C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Gremio
30%
Draws
16%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio come out ahead of Confianca on wins alone.
  • Gremio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Gremio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gremio Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Confianca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.34 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Confianca vs Gremio
0:3
Apr 21, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Gremio vs Confianca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amuzu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio 95 / 100
Confianca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Confianca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Gremio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gremio VS Confianca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
27 Aug
Internacional
0 : 0
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

Confianca

(Away)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
TBD -
Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
TBD -
TBD -
Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
TBD -
Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
America RN -
TBD -
TBD -
Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
America MG -
TBD -
America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
TBD -
Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario MS -
Confianca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tombense -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratorio -
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
Maringa FC -
Retro -
TBD -
TBD -
Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
TBD -
Goias -
Trem -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense-PI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville -
TBD -
TBD -
CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
TBD -
TBD -
Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranhao -
Ceara -
TBD -
Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso -
TBD -
TBD -
Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
TBD -
Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
TBD -
ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
TBD -
TBD -
Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
TBD -
TBD -
AE Altos -
Avai -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Maracana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Manaus FC -
Londrina -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
TBD -
Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Capital -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario VG -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
TBD -
Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
TBD -
Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacuipense -
Mixto -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
TBD -
TBD -
Lagarto -
Manauara -
TBD -
TBD -
Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
TBD -
Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
TBD -
TBD -
Sousa -
CRB -
TBD -
Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amazonas -
Figueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Azuriz -
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
America MG 2
Tirol 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
TBD -
Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional 1
Gremio 3
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 3
Vasco 3
Vitoria 0
Palmeiras 3
Santos 0
Semi-finals
Gremio -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Palmeiras -
Final
TBD -
TBD -