Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Carlos Vinicius
30'
30'
Ferreira Melo B.
34'
34'
Sub
Breno Lopes In: Felipe Jonatan
Out: Breno Lopes
AI Match Summary
Gremio in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gremio have won more games recently than Coritiba.
- Win probability leans Gremio's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Gremio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gremio Clean Sheet 68%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gremio | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Coritiba
1:0
Nov 1, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Gremio
1:2
Jun 25, 2023 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Coritiba
5:1
Jan 31, 2021 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Gremio
1:1
Oct 7, 2020 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Coritiba
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gremio Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Mec
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Coritiba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gremio 86 / 100
Coritiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gremio Coritiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gremio scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Coritiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Gremio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gremio VS Coritiba
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Gremio
(Home) 08 Aug
Gremio
2 : 1 Sao Paulo
05 Aug
Gremio
1 : 0 Mirassol
02 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 Gremio
30 Jul
Gremio
0 : 1 Bolivar
26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1 Fluminense
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Gremio
2 : 1 Sao Paulo
05 Aug
Gremio
1 : 0 Mirassol
30 Jul
Gremio
0 : 1 Bolivar
26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1 Fluminense
12 Jul
Gremio
3 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 3
Coritiba
(Away) 08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
31 Jul
Coritiba
0 : 1 Cruzeiro
26 Jul
Bragantino
0 : 0 Coritiba
22 Jul
Coritiba
1 : 3 Palmeiras
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Coritiba
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Bragantino
0 : 0 Coritiba
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Coritiba
17 May
Santos
0 : 3 Coritiba
02 May
Vitoria
4 : 1 Coritiba
26 Apr
Gremio
1 : 0 Coritiba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 38:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39:18 | 42 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:31 | 33 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:25 | 33 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26:22 | 31 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:29 | 30 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27:27 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:27 | 25 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24:30 | 23 |
| 16 | Internacional | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:31 | 22 |
| 19 | Remo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26:36 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20:43 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
